{"id":12713,"date":"2023-05-02T10:03:32","date_gmt":"2023-05-02T10:03:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/melcherswordpresstest.azurewebsites.net\/?p=5889"},"modified":"2026-04-06T07:51:20","modified_gmt":"2026-04-06T05:51:20","slug":"singapores-gdp-bounces-back-but-officials-warn-of-uncertainties","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enable-asia.de\/en\/singapurs-bdp-erholt-sich-aber-beamte-warnen-vor-unsicherheiten\/","title":{"rendered":"SINGAPORE'S GDP BOUNCES BACK, BUT OFFICIALS WARN OF UNCERTAINTIES"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The first quarter of 2021 saw strong GDP growth from Singapore, outperforming government expectations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Q1\u2019s 1.4% year-on-year growth was the best since 2019 Q4, far better than the Ministry of Trade and Industry\u2019s own cautious forecast of 0.2%, and exceeding more optimistic projections from a Reuters analysts\u2019 poll (0.9%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>GDP was also up by 3.1% on the previous quarter, exceeding the government\u2019s earlier estimates of 2%, setting the island nation on track for a very healthy 2021, following an understandably tough 2020.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>SINGAPURE\u00b4S GROWTH ENGINE<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So, what was behind these strong figures?\u00a0 Primarily exports of goods.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Being a small nation, Singapore has a small domestic market, but she\u2019s also a mini export powerhouse, with a remarkable exports\/GDP ratio of 1.7 according to World Ban figures, one of the highest in the world, and is also ranked 2nd overall in their Ease of Doing Business ratings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In Q1 2021, YoY:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Construction contracted by 22.7%, due to declining public and private investments<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Services were pretty stagnant, down 0.5%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Manufacturing, by contrast, grew by 10.7%, with strong performances in sectors like electronics, precision engineering and chemicals<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It\u2019s capital goods (machinery, production equipment) that dominate Singapore\u2019s exports, accounting for almost a half of the total value \u2013 as much as commodities, consumer goods and intermediate goods combined.\u00a0 And Singapore\u2019s ability to sell to a range of markets in the region is a strength too: China, Hong Kong, Indonesia and Malaysia are her top 4 export destinations, combining to contributing 43% of total export value, but they each account for between 12% and 8%, with no overreliance on a particular market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>STILL CAUTIOUS OVERALL<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite this manufacturing-led bounce, Singapore\u2019s government is still warning of \u201cheightened uncertainties\u201d.\u00a0 \u201cWhile it is possible that the Singapore economy will outperform the '4 to 6 per cent' growth forecast for 2021 if external demand picks up more strongly than expected, there are also significant downside risks. The most important is the trajectory of the Covid-19 pandemic,\" said MTI permanent secretary Gabriel Lim last month. He also warned that the construction and marine and offshore engineering sectors are expected to face severe labour shortages due to border restrictions on the entry of essential foreign workers from South Asia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A recent rise in local cases, particularly the B1617 variant from India, led Singapore\u2019s government to impose new restrictions from 15 May until 13 June at least, and postponed a planned \u201cair travel bubble\u201d with Hong Kong.\u00a0 As such, it should come as no surprise that the government is not extrapolating continued growth at those Q1 rates, but is instead sticking with a solid (rather than spectacular) GDP growth forecast 4-6% for 2021.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>MELCHERS IN SINGAPORE<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Our Singapore branch is service-oriented company that markets and sell premium products in Asia, and provides sourcing services, for our customers outside Asia. Whether you are a buyer, manufacturer, supplier or entrepreneur, join us as we continue building a future of business opportunities.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Contact us:\u00a0<a href=\"mailto:contact@melchers.de\">contact@melchers.de<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Singapore\u2019s GDP rebounded strongly in early 2021, driven by manufacturing and exports, yet officials caution against heightened uncertainties, highlighting pandemic risks and sectoral challenges impacting economic recovery. <\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":15397,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[66],"tags":[91,100,90,108,109],"class_list":["post-12713","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-marktentwicklung","tag-asia-market-entry","tag-asia-market-expansion","tag-market-expansion","tag-singapore-market-entry","tag-singapore-market-opportunities"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>News: Singapurs Wachstumsmotor | Enable Asia<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u2713 Singapurs Wachstumsmotor \u2713 Asien Experte \u2713 \u00fcber 150 Jahre Erfahrung \u2713 spannende Themen \u00fcber Asien \u25b7 jetzt lesen\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, 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